Cesena vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 3
CES
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CES
2 - 1
FRO
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 1
TRE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 3
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRE
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 1
VER
46%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
VIC
2 - 2
TRE
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |