Cesena vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
INT
1 - 0
CES
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
PES
0 - 3
CES
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
CES
2 - 2
PES
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
TRE
1 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
TRE
2 - 2
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
COS
1 - 1
TRE
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
TRE
3 - 2
CSA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
TRE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |