Cesena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
ABN
1 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 3
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
MOD
4 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PES
1 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ABN
3 - 1
TER
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
TER
2 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 1
TER
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |