Cesena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
CES
3 - 3
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CES
2 - 2
NAP
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
CES
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
SAL
0 - 2
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
TER
2 - 2
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
EMP
2 - 1
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
TER
3 - 1
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |