Cesena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 2
CES
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
45%
31%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CES
3 - 2
VIC
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 2
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
TER
3 - 2
VER
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |