Cesena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
26.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
COM
2 - 0
CES
59%
26%
14%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
CES
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
62%
26%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CES
2 - 0
LIV
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
58%
28%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
TER
1 - 0
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
TER
2 - 1
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
TAR
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
TER
2 - 0
BAR
43%
31%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
TER
35%
34%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |