Cesena vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
50%
29%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
42%
33%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
3 - 0
PAR
31%
34%
35%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PES
3 - 0
TAR
70%
20%
9%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
28%
32%
41%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
PIS
31%
36%
34%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |