Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 0
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 3
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
CES
4 - 1
BEN
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASG
2 - 3
SSS
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |