Cesena vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
CAG
1 - 0
CES
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
CAM
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
40%
33%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
63%
25%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
SSS
46%
31%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAV
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CAV
0 - 0
PRG
44%
31%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAV
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |