Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CES
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CES
3 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ALZ
3 - 3
CES
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |