Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
CES
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 1
ABN
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |