Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
53%
27%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CES
1 - 1
PAR
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1980 |
CES
0 - 0
ASS
47%
31%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
VIC
0 - 2
CES
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CES
2 - 1
MAT
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
VER
53%
28%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 1
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 2
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
31%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |