Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
29%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
17.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
4 - 2
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPA
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAR
57%
26%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
USF
2 - 1
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |