Cesena vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CES
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 1
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
SIE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
2 - 2
SIE
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 2
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |