Cesena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
UDI
23%
26%
52%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 3
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ROM
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |