Cesena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
64.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
CES
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CES
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 2
CAT
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
CLU
1 - 1
ROM
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |