Cesena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
FIO
2 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ACM
0 - 0
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CES
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
USF
0 - 2
CES
44%
30%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GEN
4 - 1
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
ROM
58%
25%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ROM
3 - 0
SAM
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |