Cesena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CES
2 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
CES
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CES
1 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
PRO
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACL
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 2
USC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |