Cesena vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |