Cesena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 2
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CES
0 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
CES
2 - 2
TAR
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
USF
2 - 0
CES
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
PIA
2 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 1
PIA
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
PIA
0 - 3
REG
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
PIA
1 - 2
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |