Cesena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
3 - 2
CES
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
CES
0 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
22%
30%
49%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |