Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-0
Cesena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
CES
0 - 4
FIO
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
PIA
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAM
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ROM
1 - 0
PRG
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
VER
1 - 0
PRG
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |