Cesena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
17.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
BOL
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 0
CES
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 0
USC
47%
31%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAG
48%
31%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |