Cesena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
CAT
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
FIO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAP
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |