Cesena vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CES
0 - 0
PES
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 2
CES
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CES
0 - 1
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FCS
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 3
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
PAL
3 - 1
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
2 - 2
PAL
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
SAM
4 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 3
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |