Cesena vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
CES
41%
31%
29%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
BRE
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 2
CES
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
VER
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
57%
26%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
TER
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |