Cesena vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TAR
2 - 1
CES
45%
33%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
ARZ
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CES
0 - 2
COM
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
CES
2 - 1
PIS
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
NOV
7 - 1
PIS
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 1
NOV
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
44%
30%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
NOV
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |