Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CES
0 - 3
ABN
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
CES
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
CES
0 - 0
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 2
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MES
3 - 3
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 2
RIM
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |