Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 1
CES
33%
33%
34%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CES
2 - 0
MES
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CES
2 - 0
SSS
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
39%
33%
28%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 2
MOD
54%
28%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
28%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
VIC
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |