Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
CES
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
RIM
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
7%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 1
AVE
49%
29%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
45%
31%
24%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |