Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
USF
2 - 0
CES
65%
24%
12%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
LAZ
33%
32%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
REG
1 - 1
CES
53%
30%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
CAT
42%
31%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
53%
30%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 2
BRE
40%
31%
29%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
PAL
4 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |