Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
COM
0 - 1
MOD
63%
23%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |