Cesena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
63.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
0 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 1
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CES
3 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
4 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |