Cesena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
SAM
2 - 0
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 4
ACM
24%
29%
48%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
5 - 1
ASC
73%
19%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACM
21%
29%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |