Cesena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 1
CES
41%
31%
27%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
ACM
4 - 0
TAR
74%
19%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ACM
2 - 0
VIC
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
ACM
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
75%
19%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |