Cesena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
CES
3 - 0
PRG
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
INT
3 - 1
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CES
1 - 1
ROM
44%
30%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 2
ACM
13%
19%
68%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
USF
0 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
56%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |