Cesena vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
2 - 1
CES
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
PIS
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BRE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
MAT
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
SSS
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAT
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |