Cesena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CES
1 - 3
ARZ
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASL
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |