Cesena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 3
CES
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
TER
2 - 3
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
LIV
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
4 - 0
PES
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |