Cesena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 2
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 3
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |