Cesena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CES
3 - 2
TRE
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CES
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
VIC
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |