Cesena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CES
1 - 2
ASS
45%
30%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 2
CES
53%
30%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CES
0 - 1
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CES
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
REG
37%
32%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
BAR
35%
34%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
FCC
2 - 1
LIV
41%
33%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |