Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
CES
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
GEN
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 0
CES
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 2
CES
84%
11%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 2
LEC
8%
20%
72%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
ISC
82%
14%
5%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |