Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
62%
24%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CAG
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 0
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
CHI
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 4
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAG
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |