Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 0-1
Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
CES
0 - 3
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 0
RAV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 2
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
CES
0 - 3
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PES
3 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |