Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 0
RAV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 2
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CES
4 - 0
USC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PES
3 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |