Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CAT
2 - 2
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
CES
1 - 1
CAG
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CES
45%
33%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
CES
0 - 0
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
49%
30%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |