Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
UDI
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
USF
0 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
42%
32%
27%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |