Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 2
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
CES
3 - 1
SSS
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
USF
1 - 1
LEC
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |