Cesena vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
VER
5 - 3
ARZ
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
VNZ
3 - 2
VER
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
VER
0 - 1
EMP
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TOR
3 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |